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P
Polymarket
polymarket.com · Polygon
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Decentralized |
$52.5B cumulative, ~$7B/month |
APISDKWS |
CLIFRAMEWORKSKILL |
about
World's largest decentralized prediction market. Binary/categorical markets on politics, sports, crypto, economics on Polygon.
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K
|
Regulated/CeFi |
$30B+ annual, ~$9B/month |
APISDKWS |
— |
about
CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange. Event contracts on sports, crypto, politics, economics, weather. ~$11B valuation.
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R
Robinhood Prediction Markets
robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets · CeFi
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Regulated/CeFi |
12B+ contracts/yr |
— |
— |
about
CFTC-regulated prediction markets from major US brokerage. 12B+ contracts traded in 2025. Sports, politics, economics.
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O
Opinion
opinion.trade · BNB Chain
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Decentralized |
$8B/month peak |
APISDKWS |
— |
about
On-chain prediction market on BNB Chain with CLOB. Backed by YZi Labs (Binance Labs). $20M pre-Series A. $8B+ monthly volume at peak.
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P
Probable
probable.markets · BNB Chain
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Decentralized |
$3B cumulative |
APISDK |
— |
about
Zero-fee on-chain PM on BNB Chain. Incubated by PancakeSwap/YZi Labs. UMA Optimistic Oracle. Acquired by predict.fun March 2026.
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L
Limitless
limitless.exchange · Base
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Decentralized |
$1.5B cumulative |
APISDKWS |
CLIMCP |
about
Prediction exchange on Base for crypto, sports, and real-world events. Low fees. LMTS token. $1.5B cumulative volume.
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S
SX Bet
sx.bet · SX Network (own L2)
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Decentralized |
$1.1B cumulative |
APIWS |
— |
about
Largest on-chain sports betting app. Own EVM blockchain (SX Network). P2P parlays. $1.1B cumulative volume.
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M
Myriad
myriad.markets · Multi-EVM
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Decentralized |
$385M cumulative |
APISDK |
CLI |
about
Decentralized PM with browser extension for contextual trading from news/social content. Points system today; $MYR token planned at future TGE (no date announced). Markets settle in USDC. 511K+ users, $385M cumulative volume.
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R
Rain Protocol
rain.one · Arbitrum
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Decentralized |
~$18M cumulative, ~$3.96M TVL, ~30K users |
SDKAPI |
SKILL |
about
Permissionless prediction market on Arbitrum. AI oracle (Delphi, 5-agent system). 'Uniswap of prediction markets.' Backed by Enlivex (Nasdaq-listed, $212M RAIN treasury).
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A
Alpha Arcade
alphaarcade.com · Algorand
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Decentralized |
$10M+ cumulative |
APISDK |
MCP |
about
Decentralized PM on Algorand. 3rd largest by daily tx count (behind Polymarket/Kalshi). Founded by Lofty.ai team. $ALPHA token.
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P
predict.fun
predict.fun · BNB Chain
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Decentralized |
Early stage |
APISDK |
— |
about
Yield-bearing prediction market on BNB Chain. Staked funds generate DeFi yield while markets open. Ex-Binance team, YZi Labs incubated.
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S
Sapience
sapience.xyz · Ethereal + Arbitrum
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Decentralized |
~18.6 USDe cumulative (very early) |
APISDKWS |
SKILLFRAMEWORK |
about
AI-first prediction market on Ethereal chain + Arbitrum. Uses Ethena USDe collateral. Agent vaults, auction system (RFQ). Beta.
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B
|
Decentralized |
Unknown |
— |
MCPSKILLFRAMEWORK |
about
Solana-native prediction market purpose-built for AI agents. 76 MCP tools. Boolean and race markets with SOL payouts.
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C
Context Markets
context.markets · Base
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Decentralized |
Unknown |
APISDK |
MCPCLISKILL |
about
Prediction market on Base with real-time markets across esports, sports, weather, crypto. Comprehensive developer and agent tooling.
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M
Manifold
manifold.markets · None (centralized)
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Play Money |
Play money only |
APISDK |
MCP |
about
Social prediction market where anyone can create markets. Play money (Mana). ~20K weekly active users. Open source. Most developer-friendly PM.
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M
Metaculus
www.metaculus.com · None (centralized)
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Play Money |
N/A (reputation-based) |
API |
FRAMEWORK |
about
Collective intelligence forecasting platform. Reputation-based scoring. AI Forecasting Benchmark competitions with prizes. Academic/EA community.
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W
worm.wtf
worm.wtf · Solana
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Decentralized |
Unknown |
— |
— |
about
AI-powered prediction market on Solana. Permissionless community-driven markets. AI copilot for market creation. UMA oracle. $4.5M pre-seed. 3x margin trading.
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O
Overtime
overtimemarkets.xyz · Base
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Decentralized |
Unknown |
— |
— |
about
Crypto sportsbook with live odds, in-play markets, instant settlements. 20+ sports. Multi-chain.
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S
Seer
seer.pm · Gnosis, Ethereum
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Decentralized |
Low |
— |
FRAMEWORK |
about
Decentralized prediction marketplace using Conditional Tokens framework. Reality.eth for resolution, Kleros for disputes. Gnosis ecosystem.
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A
AIOmen / Presagio
presagio.pages.dev · Gnosis
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Decentralized |
Low |
— |
FRAMEWORK |
about
Prediction market on Gnosis chain built for AI agent participation. AIOmen is the agent-focused PM, Presagio is the revitalized Omen 2.0 frontend. Backed by GnosisDAO.
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T
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Decentralized |
Low/early |
SDK |
— |
about
Decentralized prediction market on Base with yield-bearing markets. Resolution via AI agents + economic security + decentralized jury. Vitalik bought 400 Patron NFTs (32 ETH).
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O
OG (by Crypto.com)
og.com · CeFi
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Regulated/CeFi |
Undisclosed |
— |
— |
about
CFTC-regulated standalone prediction markets app spun out from Crypto.com in Feb 2026 ahead of Super Bowl LX. Margin/leverage trading, 49 US states. Crypto.com reported 40x growth in its internal event-contracts business in the six months pre-launch (absolute volume undisclosed).
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D
DraftKings Predictions
www.draftkings.com · CeFi
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Regulated/CeFi |
Early stage |
— |
— |
about
CFTC-registered prediction markets app. Sports, finance. Available in 38 US states. Powered by CME + Crypto.com exchanges.
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F
FanDuel Predicts
www.fanduel.com/predicts · CeFi
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Regulated/CeFi |
Early stage |
— |
— |
about
Prediction market from FanDuel + CME Group joint venture. CFTC-regulated. Sports, finance, politics.
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P
PredictIt
www.predictit.org · CeFi
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Regulated/CeFi |
Declining |
API |
— |
about
Legacy political prediction market. Continuous double auction. CFTC no-action letter revoked but still operational.
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X
XO Market
xo.market · Sovereign rollup
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Decentralized |
Early stage |
APISDKWS |
— |
about
Permissionless conviction market protocol on sovereign rollup with Celestia DA. AI-driven oracle (MODRA). Sub-second execution. $500K pre-seed from Delphi Ventures.
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I
Interactive Brokers (ForecastTrader)
forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com · CeFi
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Regulated/CeFi |
Unknown |
API |
— |
about
CFTC-regulated prediction markets from major US brokerage via ForecastEx (owned subsidiary) + CME Event Contracts. Binary contracts $0.02-$0.99. 3.14% APY daily incentive. Nearly 24/6 trading.
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